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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Brevyn Spann-Ford or Seth McGowan?

Close call

Start Seth McGowan

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Spann-Ford.

McGowan already played: 5.3 Half PPR pts (projected 1.4).

Week 6: Spann-Ford outscored McGowan 5.5 to 2.7. Our call, start McGowan (65%), was wrong.

Spann-Ford 49% 51% McGowan

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

McGowan has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #44

Brevyn Spann-Ford

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 1.4
Status Active
RB Colts RB #55 Start

Seth McGowan

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 1.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Spann-Ford: 2.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 39% of snaps, 1.3 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • McGowan: 3.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 7.3 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to RBs.
Spann-Ford Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 5.5 46% 4
Wk 5 vs TB 0.0 33% –
Wk 4 @ HOU 0.0 40% –
Wk 3 vs BAL 2.4 38% 1
McGowan Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 5.3 33% 12
Wk 6 vs TEN 2.7 23% 4
Wk 5 @ PIT 2.4 27% 6
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.3 29% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Spann-Ford McGowan
Median Half PPR pts 1.4 1.4
Rec 1.1 0.6
Rec Yds 11.0 4.1
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 0.0 11.6
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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