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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start C.J. Stroud or Michael Penix Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Penix outscored Stroud

Our call was start Stroud (52%): wrong by 3.9 Standard pts.

Stroud 16.5 Projected 16.9
Penix 20.4 Projected 15.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Texans QB #8 Start

C.J. Stroud

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 16.9
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Stroud: 20.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, NYG allows the 8th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Stroud Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NYG 16.5 100% 28
Wk 6 @ JAX 23.0 100% 34
Wk 5 @ TEN 20.9 100% 34
Wk 4 vs DAL 23.1 100% 31
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Stroud Penix
Median Standard pts 16.9 15.8
Pass Yds 240.2 218.8
Pass TD 1.5 1.2
INT 0.6 0.4
Rush Yds 18.2 14.2
Rush TD 0.2 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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