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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott?

Close call

Start Caleb Williams

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Prescott.

Williams already played: 22.1 Half PPR pts (projected 18.1).

Week 6: Williams outscored Prescott 16.5 to 11.0. Our call, start Prescott (73%), was wrong.

Williams 53% 47% Prescott

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Williams has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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QB Bears QB #5 Start

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Half PPR) 18.1
Status Active
QB Cowboys QB #9

Dak Prescott

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 16.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 20.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Prescott: 15.2 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, PHI allows the 10th most to QBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 22.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 16.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 7.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29
Prescott Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 100% 54
Wk 5 vs TB 12.6 100% 42
Wk 4 @ HOU 18.1 100% 45
Wk 3 vs BAL 18.9 100% 40

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Prescott
Median Half PPR pts 18.1 16.7
Pass Yds 213.9 245.6
Pass TD 1.3 1.3
INT 0.5 0.7
Rush Yds 43.4 20.0
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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Williams & Prescott

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