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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Caleb Williams or Joe Burrow?

Final · Week 7

Burrow outscored Williams

Our call was start Burrow (52%): right by 6.8 PPR pts.

Williams 22.1 Projected 18.1
Burrow 28.9 Projected 18.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Bears QB #5

Caleb Williams

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (PPR) 18.1
Status Active
QB Bengals QB #4 Start

Joe Burrow

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (PPR) 18.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 20.9 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, NE allows the 24th most to QBs.
  • Burrow: 24.9 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, BAL allows the 16th most to QBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NE 22.1 100% 33
Wk 6 @ ATL 16.5 100% 36
Wk 2 vs MIN 7.7 86% 26
Wk 1 @ CAR 37.3 100% 29
Burrow Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ BAL 28.9 – 30
Wk 5 @ MIA 24.6 100% 32
Wk 4 vs JAX 23.7 100% 54
Wk 3 @ PIT 22.6 100% 37

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Burrow
Median PPR pts 18.1 18.4
Pass Yds 213.9 261.8
Pass TD 1.3 1.9
INT 0.5 0.6
Rush Yds 43.4 18.4
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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