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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Cedric Tillman or Drew Sample?

The verdict

Start Cedric Tillman

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Sample.

Tillman's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Sample already played: 8.4 Standard pts (projected 0.3).

Tillman 58% 42% Sample

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

WR Saints WR #98 Start

Cedric Tillman

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 0.4
Status Active
TE Bengals TE #51

Drew Sample

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 0.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Tillman: 0.0 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 4% of snaps, 0.0 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to WRs.
  • Sample: 2.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 1.0 touches, BAL allows the 16th most to TEs.
Tillman Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 6% –
Wk 5 vs MIN 0.0 2% –
Sample Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 8.4 – 2
Wk 5 @ MIA 0.5 52% 1
Wk 4 vs JAX 0.0 26% –
Wk 3 @ PIT 0.0 51% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Tillman Sample
Median Standard pts 0.4 0.3
Rec 1.1 1.2
Rec Yds 12.8 8.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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