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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Drew Sample or Justin Joly?

Close call

Start Drew Sample

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Sample already played: 8.4 Standard pts (projected 0.3).

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Sample 53% 47% Joly

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Bengals TE #51 Start

Drew Sample

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 0.3
Status Active
TE Dolphins TE #52

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Sample: 2.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 46% of snaps, 1.0 touches, BAL allows the 16th most to TEs.
  • Joly: NYJ allows the 27th most to TEs.
Sample Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 8.4 55% 2
Wk 5 @ MIA 0.5 52% 1
Wk 4 vs JAX 0.0 26% –
Wk 3 @ PIT 0.0 51% 1
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Sample Joly
Median Standard pts 0.3 0.1
Rec 1.2 0.7
Rec Yds 8.5 6.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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