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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Andrew Ogletree or Justin Joly?

The verdict

Start Andrew Ogletree

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Ogletree already played: 1.2 Standard pts (projected 0.4).

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Ogletree 58% 42% Joly

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Colts TE #49 Start

Andrew Ogletree

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 0.4
Status Active
TE Dolphins TE #52

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ogletree: 0.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 37% of snaps, 0.8 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
  • Joly: NYJ allows the 27th most to TEs.
Ogletree Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 1.2 57% 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 0.0 36% –
Wk 5 @ PIT 0.4 27% 1
Wk 4 @ WAS 0.0 29% –
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ogletree Joly
Median Standard pts 0.4 0.1
Rec 1.2 0.7
Rec Yds 10.6 6.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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