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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Justin Joly or Zavion Thomas?

The verdict

Start Zavion Thomas

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Thomas already played: 0.0 Standard pts (projected 0.1).

Joly 43% 57% Thomas

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Dolphins TE #52

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active
WR Bears WR #109 Start

Zavion Thomas

vs New England Patriots · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 0.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Joly: NYJ allows the 27th most to TEs.
  • Thomas: 1.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 13% of snaps, 1.3 touches, NE allows the 15th most to WRs.
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season
Thomas Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NE 0.0 7% –
Wk 6 @ ATL 2.5 13% 3
Wk 5 @ GB 2.2 22% 2
Wk 4 vs NYJ 0.0 10% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Joly Thomas
Median Standard pts 0.1 0.1
Rec 0.7 0.6
Rec Yds 6.6 6.3
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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