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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Drew Sample or Justin Joly?

The verdict

Start Drew Sample

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Joly.

Sample already played: 10.4 DraftKings pts (projected 1.0).

Joly's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Sample 57% 43% Joly

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

TE Bengals TE #52 Start

Drew Sample

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (DraftKings) 1.0
Status Active
TE Dolphins TE #55

Justin Joly

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 0.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Sample: 3.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 43% of snaps, 1.0 touches, BAL allows the 19th most to TEs.
  • Joly: NYJ allows the 28th most to TEs.
Sample Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 10.4 – 2
Wk 5 @ MIA 1.5 52% 1
Wk 4 vs JAX 0.0 26% –
Wk 3 @ PIT 1.0 51% 1
Joly Opp Pts Snaps Touches
No games this season

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Sample Joly
Median DraftKings pts 1.0 0.6
Rec 1.2 0.7
Rec Yds 8.5 6.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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