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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start CeeDee Lamb or Christian Watson?

The verdict

Start Christian Watson

Wins 60% of simulated matchups against Lamb.

Watson already played: 5.7 Standard pts (projected 11.3).

Week 6: Lamb outscored Watson 7.0 to 6.4. Our call, start Watson (58%), was wrong.

Lamb 40% 60% Watson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Cowboys WR #10

CeeDee Lamb

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active
WR Packers WR #3 Start

Christian Watson

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Standard) 11.3
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 14m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lamb: 11.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 78% of snaps, 9.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Watson: 10.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DET allows the 5th most to WRs.
Lamb Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.0 88% 9
Wk 5 vs TB 0.9 57% 2
Wk 4 @ HOU 24.3 86% 18
Wk 3 vs BAL 13.2 82% 7
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ DET 5.7 81% 5
Wk 6 vs DAL 6.4 88% 3
Wk 5 vs CHI 26.3 80% 6
Wk 4 @ TB 4.7 68% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lamb Watson
Median Standard pts 8.4 11.3
Rec 6.6 4.9
Rec Yds 85.2 94.8
Rec TD 0.4 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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