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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start CeeDee Lamb or Christian Watson?

The verdict

Start Christian Watson

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Lamb.

Watson already played: 8.2 Half PPR pts (projected 13.7).

Week 6: Lamb outscored Watson 11.5 to 7.9. Our call, start Watson (56%), was wrong.

Lamb 43% 57% Watson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Cowboys WR #8

CeeDee Lamb

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 11.3
Status Active
WR Packers WR #4 Start

Christian Watson

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 13.7
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 3m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lamb: 15.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 78% of snaps, 9.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Watson: 12.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DET allows the 3rd most to WRs.
Lamb Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.5 88% 9
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 57% 2
Wk 4 @ HOU 32.8 86% 18
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.7 82% 7
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ DET 8.2 81% 5
Wk 6 vs DAL 7.9 88% 3
Wk 5 vs CHI 29.3 80% 6
Wk 4 @ TB 6.2 68% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lamb Watson
Median Half PPR pts 11.3 13.7
Rec 6.6 4.9
Rec Yds 85.2 94.8
Rec TD 0.4 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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