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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Christian Watson or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Christian Watson

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Watson already played: 8.2 Half PPR pts (projected 13.7).

Week 6: Williams outscored Watson 12.0 to 7.9. Our call, start Williams (55%), was right.

Watson 51% 49% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Watson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Packers WR #4 Start

Christian Watson

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 13.7
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 11m ago
RB Cowboys RB #11

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 13.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 12.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DET allows the 3rd most to WRs.
  • Williams: 17.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ DET 8.2 81% 5
Wk 6 vs DAL 7.9 88% 3
Wk 5 vs CHI 29.3 80% 6
Wk 4 @ TB 6.2 68% 3
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 12.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 13.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 28.8 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 17.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Williams
Median Half PPR pts 13.7 13.6
Rec 4.9 2.4
Rec Yds 94.8 15.5
Rec TD 0.8 0.1
Rush Yds 0.3 73.1
Rush TD 0.0 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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