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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Henry.

Henry already played: 5.4 Half PPR pts (projected 13.4).

Week 6: Williams outscored Henry 12.0 to 4.5. Our call, start Henry (53%), was wrong.

Henry 50% 50% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Williams has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Ravens RB #12

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Half PPR) 13.4
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 13.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Henry: 11.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
  • Williams: 17.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 5.4 – 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 4.5 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 20.5 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 14.9 62% 25
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 12.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 13.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 28.8 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 17.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Henry Williams
Median Half PPR pts 13.4 13.6
Rush Yds 83.3 73.1
Rush TD 0.8 0.8
Rec 1.2 2.4
Rec Yds 8.5 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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