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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Chase Brown or Derrick Henry?

Final · Week 7

Brown outscored Henry

Our call was start Henry (52%): wrong by 2.4 Half PPR pts.

Brown 7.8 Projected 13.1
Henry 5.4 Projected 13.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB Bengals RB #14

Chase Brown

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Half PPR) 13.1
Status Active
RB Ravens RB #12 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Half PPR) 13.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 8.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 71% of snaps, 16.5 touches, BAL allows the 28th most to RBs.
  • Henry: 11.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 7.8 75% 15
Wk 5 @ MIA 5.5 60% 16
Wk 4 vs JAX 13.6 79% 20
Wk 3 @ PIT 7.9 70% 15
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 5.4 51% 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 4.5 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 20.5 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 14.9 62% 25

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Henry
Median Half PPR pts 13.1 13.4
Rush Yds 65.2 83.3
Rush TD 0.4 0.8
Rec 4.1 1.2
Rec Yds 29.5 8.5
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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