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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Chase Brown or Derrick Henry?

Final · Week 7

Brown outscored Henry

Our call was start Henry (57%): wrong by 0.9 Standard pts.

Brown 5.8 Projected 11.0
Henry 4.9 Projected 12.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

RB Bengals RB #15

Chase Brown

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 11.0
Status Active
RB Ravens RB #9 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 12.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 6.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 71% of snaps, 16.5 touches, BAL allows the 28th most to RBs.
  • Henry: 10.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ BAL 5.8 75% 15
Wk 5 @ MIA 4.0 60% 16
Wk 4 vs JAX 8.1 79% 20
Wk 3 @ PIT 6.9 70% 15
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 4.9 51% 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 4.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 20.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 13.9 62% 25

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Henry
Median Standard pts 11.0 12.8
Rush Yds 65.2 83.3
Rush TD 0.4 0.8
Rec 4.1 1.2
Rec Yds 29.5 8.5
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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