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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Derrick Henry

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Henry already played: 4.9 Standard pts (projected 12.8).

Week 6: Williams outscored Henry 11.0 to 4.0. Our call, start Henry (55%), was wrong.

Henry 52% 48% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Henry has the safer floor

By how much, and who has the upside?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Ravens RB #9 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 12.8
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Henry: 10.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 4.9 51% 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 4.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 20.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 13.9 62% 25
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Henry Williams
Median Standard pts 12.8 12.3
Rush Yds 83.3 73.1
Rush TD 0.8 0.8
Rec 1.2 2.4
Rec Yds 8.5 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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