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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Derrick Henry or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Henry.

Henry already played: 5.9 PPR pts (projected 14.2).

Week 6: Williams outscored Henry 13.0 to 5.0. Our call, start Henry (52%), was wrong.

Henry 48% 52% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Williams has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Ravens RB #15

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (PPR) 14.2
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #13 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 14.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Henry: 11.9 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 30th most to RBs.
  • Williams: 19.2 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to RBs.
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 5.9 – 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 5.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 21.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 15.9 62% 25
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 13.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 14.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 31.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 18.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Henry Williams
Median PPR pts 14.2 14.8
Rush Yds 83.3 73.1
Rush TD 0.8 0.8
Rec 1.2 2.4
Rec Yds 8.5 15.5
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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