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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Javonte Williams or Jaylen Warren?

Close call

Start Jaylen Warren

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Warren already played: 13.7 Standard pts (projected 12.6).

Week 6: Williams outscored Warren 11.0 to 7.8. Our call, start Williams (58%), was right.

Williams 49% 51% Warren

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Warren has the safer floor

By how much, and who has the upside?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Cowboys RB #11

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #10 Start

Jaylen Warren

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 12.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • Warren: 16.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 86% of snaps, 19.5 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21
Warren Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 13.7 – 21
Wk 6 @ TB 7.8 75% 16
Wk 5 vs IND 30.8 87% 21
Wk 4 @ CLE 12.6 97% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Warren
Median Standard pts 12.3 12.6
Rush Yds 73.1 69.6
Rush TD 0.8 0.4
Rec 2.4 3.8
Rec Yds 15.5 31.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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