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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Javonte Williams or Jaylen Warren?

The verdict

Start Jaylen Warren

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Warren already played: 19.7 DraftKings pts (projected 17.3).

Week 6: Williams outscored Warren 13.0 to 9.8. Our call, start Williams (55%), was right.

Williams 45% 55% Warren

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Cowboys RB #13

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 15.5
Status Active
RB Steelers RB #6 Start

Jaylen Warren

@ New Orleans Saints · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (DraftKings) 17.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Williams: 19.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 18th most to RBs.
  • Warren: 21.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 80% of snaps, 19.5 touches, NO allows the 1st most to RBs.
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 13.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 14.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 31.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 18.3 76% 21
Warren Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ NO 19.7 62% 21
Wk 6 @ TB 9.8 75% 16
Wk 5 vs IND 39.8 87% 21
Wk 4 @ CLE 15.6 97% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Williams Warren
Median DraftKings pts 15.5 17.3
Rush Yds 73.1 69.6
Rush TD 0.8 0.4
Rec 2.4 3.8
Rec Yds 15.5 31.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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