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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Ashton Jeanty or Javonte Williams?

Close call

Start Javonte Williams

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Jeanty.

Jeanty already played: 13.6 Standard pts (projected 12.1).

Week 6: Jeanty outscored Williams 11.8 to 11.0. Our call, start Williams (60%), was wrong.

Jeanty 49% 51% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Williams has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Raiders RB #12

Ashton Jeanty

vs Los Angeles Rams · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Standard) 12.1
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #11 Start

Javonte Williams

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 12.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jeanty: 11.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 63% of snaps, 16.0 touches, LAR allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Williams: 16.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 18.0 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Jeanty Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs LAR 13.6 72% 16
Wk 6 vs BUF 11.8 58% 14
Wk 5 @ NE 7.7 53% 13
Wk 4 vs KC 12.6 67% 21
Williams Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 73% 13
Wk 5 vs TB 12.2 85% 14
Wk 4 @ HOU 26.3 74% 24
Wk 3 vs BAL 16.3 76% 21

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Jeanty Williams
Median Standard pts 12.1 12.3
Rush Yds 62.1 73.1
Rush TD 0.5 0.8
Rec 4.4 2.4
Rec Yds 34.8 15.5
Rec TD 0.3 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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