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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start CeeDee Lamb or Derrick Henry?

The verdict

Start Derrick Henry

Wins 65% of simulated matchups against Lamb.

Henry already played: 4.9 Standard pts (projected 12.8).

Week 6: Lamb outscored Henry 7.0 to 4.0. Our call, start Henry (71%), was wrong.

Lamb 35% 65% Henry

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Cowboys WR #10

CeeDee Lamb

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 8.4
Status Active
RB Ravens RB #9 Start

Derrick Henry

vs Cincinnati Bengals · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 12.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Lamb: 11.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 78% of snaps, 9.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
  • Henry: 10.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 58% of snaps, 21.5 touches, CIN allows the 29th most to RBs.
Lamb Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 7.0 88% 9
Wk 5 vs TB 0.9 57% 2
Wk 4 @ HOU 24.3 86% 18
Wk 3 vs BAL 13.2 82% 7
Henry Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs CIN 4.9 – 18
Wk 6 @ CLE 4.0 58% 18
Wk 5 @ ATL 20.0 55% 25
Wk 4 vs TEN 13.9 62% 25

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Lamb Henry
Median Standard pts 8.4 12.8
Rec 6.6 1.2
Rec Yds 85.2 8.5
Rec TD 0.4 0.1
Rush Yds 1.4 83.3
Rush TD 0.0 0.8

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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