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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Dak Prescott or Michael Penix Jr.?

Close call

Start Dak Prescott

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Penix.

Penix already played: 20.4 DraftKings pts (projected 17.0).

Week 6: Penix outscored Prescott 24.1 to 13.0. Our call, start Prescott (64%), was wrong.

Prescott 53% 47% Penix

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Prescott has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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QB Cowboys QB #9 Start

Dak Prescott

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 18.5
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 17.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Prescott: 17.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, PHI allows the 9th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 98% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
Prescott Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 6 @ GB 13.0 100% 54
Wk 5 vs TB 17.6 100% 42
Wk 4 @ HOU 21.1 100% 45
Wk 3 vs BAL 18.9 100% 40
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 – 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 24.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Prescott Penix
Median DraftKings pts 18.5 17.0
Pass Yds 245.6 218.8
Pass TD 1.3 1.2
INT 0.7 0.4
Rush Yds 20.0 14.2
Rush TD 0.2 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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Prescott & Penix

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