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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dak Prescott or Michael Penix Jr.?

Close call

Start Dak Prescott

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Penix.

Penix already played: 20.4 Standard pts (projected 15.8).

Week 6: Penix outscored Prescott 23.1 to 11.0. Our call, start Prescott (63%), was wrong.

Prescott 52% 48% Penix

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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QB Cowboys QB #9 Start

Dak Prescott

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 16.7
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Prescott: 15.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, PHI allows the 10th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Prescott Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 6 @ GB 11.0 100% 54
Wk 5 vs TB 12.6 100% 42
Wk 4 @ HOU 18.1 100% 45
Wk 3 vs BAL 18.9 100% 40
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Prescott Penix
Median Standard pts 16.7 15.8
Pass Yds 245.6 218.8
Pass TD 1.3 1.2
INT 0.7 0.4
Rush Yds 20.0 14.2
Rush TD 0.2 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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Prescott & Penix

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