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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Dallas Goedert or Josh Downs?

Close call

Start Dallas Goedert

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 3.8 PPR pts (projected 7.9).

Week 6: Goedert outscored Downs 12.1 to 8.7. Our call, start Goedert (54%), was right.

Goedert 53% 47% Downs

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Goedert has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Eagles TE #9 Start

Dallas Goedert

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 8.4
Status Active
WR Colts WR #38

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (PPR) 7.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Goedert: 11.8 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 68% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DAL allows the 17th most to TEs.
  • Downs: 6.2 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
Goedert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 12.1 81% 6
Wk 5 @ JAX 9.8 69% 6
Wk 2 @ TEN 1.4 25% 1
Wk 1 vs WAS 23.7 95% 4
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 3.8 85% 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 8.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 7.7 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.6 77% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Goedert Downs
Median PPR pts 8.4 7.9
Rec 3.9 4.4
Rec Yds 37.9 43.6
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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