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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Dallas Goedert or Josh Downs?

Close call

Start Dallas Goedert

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 2.8 Half PPR pts (projected 5.9).

Week 6: Goedert outscored Downs 9.1 to 6.7. Our call, start Goedert (54%), was right.

Goedert 53% 47% Downs

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Goedert has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Eagles TE #9 Start

Dallas Goedert

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 6.4
Status Active
WR Colts WR #40

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 5.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Goedert: 9.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 68% of snaps, 4.3 touches, DAL allows the 18th most to TEs.
  • Downs: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
Goedert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 9.1 81% 6
Wk 5 @ JAX 6.8 69% 6
Wk 2 @ TEN 0.9 25% 1
Wk 1 vs WAS 21.7 95% 4
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 2.8 85% 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 6.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 6.2 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 3.1 77% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Goedert Downs
Median Half PPR pts 6.4 5.9
Rec 3.9 4.4
Rec Yds 37.9 43.6
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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