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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Dalton Schultz or Jake Ferguson?

The verdict

Start Dalton Schultz

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Schultz already played: 9.5 DraftKings pts (projected 6.1).

Week 6: Schultz outscored Ferguson 7.3 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (56%), was wrong.

Schultz 55% 45% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Texans TE #23 Start

Dalton Schultz

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (DraftKings) 6.1
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #27

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 5.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Schultz: 6.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 53% of snaps, 3.5 touches, NYG allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Ferguson: 5.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
Schultz Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 9.5 57% 5
Wk 6 @ JAX 7.3 40% 4
Wk 5 @ TEN 6.0 52% 3
Wk 4 vs DAL 2.9 64% 2
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 10.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Schultz Ferguson
Median DraftKings pts 6.1 5.1
Rec 2.9 2.8
Rec Yds 30.6 22.3
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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