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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit
Start Jake Ferguson or Will Mallory?
Close call
Start Jake Ferguson
Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Mallory.
Mallory already played: 0.0 DraftKings pts (projected 4.6).
Week 6: Mallory outscored Ferguson 4.0 to 3.3. Our call, start Ferguson (76%), was wrong.
Ferguson 54% 46% Mallory
Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?
Free tiebreaker
Ferguson has the higher ceiling
By how much, and who’s safer?
Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.
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Median (DraftKings) 5.1
Status Active
Median (DraftKings) 4.6
Status Active
Last 4 games
Recent form
- Ferguson: 5.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
- Mallory: 2.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 43% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
| Ferguson | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ GB | 3.3 | 54% | 2 |
| Wk 5 | vs TB | 4.9 | 83% | 3 |
| Wk 4 | @ HOU | 4.1 | 71% | 3 |
| Wk 3 | vs BAL | 10.3 | 69% | 3 |
| Mallory | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | @ MIN | 0.0 | 34% | – |
| Wk 6 | vs TEN | 4.0 | 52% | 2 |
Week 7
Projected stat lines
| Stat | Ferguson | Mallory |
|---|---|---|
| Median DraftKings pts | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Rec | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Rec Yds | 22.3 | 26.0 |
| Rec TD | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Floor, ceiling, boom & bust