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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Will Mallory?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Mallory.

Mallory already played: 0.0 FanDuel pts (projected 3.4).

Week 6: Mallory outscored Ferguson 3.0 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (74%), was wrong.

Ferguson 53% 47% Mallory

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 3.6
Status Active
TE Colts TE #28

Will Mallory

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (FanDuel) 3.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Mallory: 1.5 FanDuel pts/game over his last 2, 43% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Mallory Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 0.0 34% –
Wk 6 vs TEN 3.0 52% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Mallory
Median FanDuel pts 3.6 3.4
Rec 2.8 2.4
Rec Yds 22.3 26.0
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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