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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Will Mallory?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Mallory.

Mallory already played: 0.0 Half PPR pts (projected 3.4).

Week 6: Mallory outscored Ferguson 3.0 to 2.3. Our call, start Ferguson (74%), was wrong.

Ferguson 53% 47% Mallory

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active
TE Colts TE #28

Will Mallory

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 3.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Mallory: 1.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 43% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Mallory Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 0.0 34% –
Wk 6 vs TEN 3.0 52% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Mallory
Median Half PPR pts 3.6 3.4
Rec 2.8 2.4
Rec Yds 22.3 26.0
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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