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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Xavier Hutchinson?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Hutchinson.

Hutchinson already played: 10.4 Half PPR pts (projected 3.6).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Hutchinson 2.3 to 2.0. Our call, start Ferguson (53%), was right.

Ferguson 51% 49% Hutchinson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active
WR Texans WR #56

Xavier Hutchinson

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Hutchinson: 6.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 46% of snaps, 3.5 touches, NYG allows the 16th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Hutchinson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 10.4 56% 5
Wk 6 @ JAX 2.0 54% 2
Wk 5 @ TEN 8.5 41% 4
Wk 4 vs DAL 6.1 31% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Hutchinson
Median Half PPR pts 3.6 3.6
Rec 2.8 2.2
Rec Yds 22.3 30.9
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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