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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Xavier Hutchinson?

Close call

Start Xavier Hutchinson

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Hutchinson already played: 8.9 Standard pts (projected 2.6).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Hutchinson 1.3 to 1.0. Our call, start Ferguson (51%), was right.

Ferguson 49% 51% Hutchinson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Cowboys TE #28

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
WR Texans WR #55 Start

Xavier Hutchinson

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 2.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Hutchinson: 5.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 46% of snaps, 3.5 touches, NYG allows the 14th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3
Hutchinson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs NYG 8.9 56% 5
Wk 6 @ JAX 1.0 54% 2
Wk 5 @ TEN 6.5 41% 4
Wk 4 vs DAL 4.6 31% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Hutchinson
Median Standard pts 2.1 2.6
Rec 2.8 2.2
Rec Yds 22.3 30.9
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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