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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Evan Engram or Jake Ferguson?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Engram.

Engram already played: 0.2 Standard pts (projected 2.4).

Engram 50% 50% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Broncos TE #26

Evan Engram

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Standard) 2.4
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #28 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Engram: 1.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 2.0 touches, ARI allows the 6th most to TEs.
  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
Engram Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ARI 0.2 – 1
Wk 6 vs SEA 1.3 52% 2
Wk 5 @ LAC 5.5 48% 4
Wk 4 @ SF 0.6 67% 1
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Engram Ferguson
Median Standard pts 2.4 2.1
Rec 2.8 2.8
Rec Yds 27.4 22.3
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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