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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Efton Chism III or Jake Ferguson?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Chism.

Chism already played: 1.6 Standard pts (projected 2.0).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Chism 1.3 to 0.0. Our call, start Ferguson (55%), was right.

Chism 48% 52% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Patriots WR #65

Efton Chism III

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 2.0
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #28 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Chism: 4.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 62% of snaps, 2.3 touches, CHI allows the 18th most to WRs.
  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
Chism Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 1.6 63% 1
Wk 6 vs NYJ 0.0 62% –
Wk 5 vs LV 5.9 76% 6
Wk 4 @ BUF 10.2 45% 2
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Chism Ferguson
Median Standard pts 2.0 2.1
Rec 2.1 2.7
Rec Yds 26.2 22.4
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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