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Week 7 · Standard start/sit
Start Jake Ferguson or Jalen Nailor?
Close call
Start Jake Ferguson
Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Nailor.
Nailor already played: 1.4 Standard pts (projected 2.2).
Week 6: Ferguson outscored Nailor 1.3 to 0.9. Our call, start Nailor (52%), was wrong.
Ferguson 52% 48% Nailor
Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?
Free tiebreaker
Ferguson has the higher ceiling
By how much, and who’s safer?
Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.
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Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active
Median (Standard) 2.2
Status Active
Last 4 games
Recent form
- Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
- Nailor: 1.0 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 55% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 25th most to WRs.
| Ferguson | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ GB | 1.3 | 54% | 2 |
| Wk 5 | vs TB | 1.9 | 83% | 3 |
| Wk 4 | @ HOU | 1.1 | 71% | 3 |
| Wk 3 | vs BAL | 6.3 | 69% | 3 |
| Nailor | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs LAR | 1.4 | 75% | 2 |
| Wk 6 | vs BUF | 0.9 | 64% | 1 |
| Wk 4 | vs KC | 0.0 | 23% | – |
| Wk 3 | @ NO | 1.6 | 57% | 1 |
Week 7
Projected stat lines
| Stat | Ferguson | Nailor |
|---|---|---|
| Median Standard pts | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Rec | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Rec Yds | 22.3 | 28.7 |
| Rec TD | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Floor, ceiling, boom & bust