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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jake Ferguson or Jalen Nailor?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Nailor.

Nailor already played: 2.4 FanDuel pts (projected 3.1).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Nailor 2.3 to 1.4. Our call, start Ferguson (51%), was right.

Ferguson 55% 45% Nailor

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 3.6
Status Active
WR Raiders WR #62

Jalen Nailor

vs Los Angeles Rams · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (FanDuel) 3.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Ferguson: 4.0 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
  • Nailor: 1.5 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 55% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 26th most to WRs.
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 3.4 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 2.6 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 7.8 69% 3
Nailor Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs LAR 2.4 75% 2
Wk 6 vs BUF 1.4 64% 1
Wk 4 vs KC 0.0 23% –
Wk 3 @ NO 2.1 57% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ferguson Nailor
Median FanDuel pts 3.6 3.1
Rec 2.8 2.1
Rec Yds 22.3 28.7
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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