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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit
Start Jake Ferguson or Jalen Nailor?
The verdict
Start Jake Ferguson
Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Nailor.
Nailor already played: 3.4 DraftKings pts (projected 4.0).
Week 6: Ferguson outscored Nailor 3.3 to 1.9. Our call, start Ferguson (52%), was right.
Ferguson 56% 44% Nailor
Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?
Median (DraftKings) 5.1
Status Active
Median (DraftKings) 4.0
Status Active
Last 4 games
Recent form
- Ferguson: 5.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
- Nailor: 2.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 55% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 28th most to WRs.
| Ferguson | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ GB | 3.3 | 54% | 2 |
| Wk 5 | vs TB | 4.9 | 83% | 3 |
| Wk 4 | @ HOU | 4.1 | 71% | 3 |
| Wk 3 | vs BAL | 10.3 | 69% | 3 |
| Nailor | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs LAR | 3.4 | 75% | 2 |
| Wk 6 | vs BUF | 1.9 | 64% | 1 |
| Wk 4 | vs KC | 0.0 | 23% | – |
| Wk 3 | @ NO | 2.6 | 57% | 1 |
Week 7
Projected stat lines
| Stat | Ferguson | Nailor |
|---|---|---|
| Median DraftKings pts | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Rec | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Rec Yds | 22.3 | 28.7 |
| Rec TD | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Floor, ceiling, boom & bust