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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Eli Raridon or Jake Ferguson?

Close call

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Raridon.

Raridon already played: 11.6 Standard pts (projected 1.6).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Raridon 1.3 to 1.1. Our call, start Ferguson (61%), was right.

Raridon 46% 54% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Ferguson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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TE Patriots TE #30

Eli Raridon

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (Standard) 1.6
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #28 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 2.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Raridon: 4.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 56% of snaps, 2.5 touches, CHI allows the 15th most to TEs.
  • Ferguson: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 20th most to TEs.
Raridon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 11.6 54% 3
Wk 6 vs NYJ 1.1 57% 1
Wk 5 vs LV 5.7 57% 5
Wk 4 @ BUF 1.2 58% 1
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 1.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 1.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 6.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Raridon Ferguson
Median Standard pts 1.6 2.1
Rec 1.7 2.8
Rec Yds 19.0 22.3
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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