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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Efton Chism III or Jake Ferguson?

The verdict

Start Jake Ferguson

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Chism.

Chism already played: 2.6 PPR pts (projected 3.8).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Chism 3.3 to 0.0. Our call, start Ferguson (59%), was right.

Chism 43% 57% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Patriots WR #65

Efton Chism III

@ Chicago Bears · Final · NE 24–30 CHI

Median (PPR) 3.8
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #27 Start

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 5.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Chism: 6.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 62% of snaps, 2.3 touches, CHI allows the 22nd most to WRs.
  • Ferguson: 5.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
Chism Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CHI 2.6 63% 1
Wk 6 vs NYJ 0.0 62% –
Wk 5 vs LV 10.9 76% 6
Wk 4 @ BUF 12.2 45% 2
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 9.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Chism Ferguson
Median PPR pts 3.8 5.0
Rec 2.1 2.7
Rec Yds 26.2 22.4
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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