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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Darren Waller or Jake Ferguson?

The verdict

Start Darren Waller

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.

Waller already played: 12.0 PPR pts (projected 6.0).

Week 6: Ferguson outscored Waller 3.3 to 0.0. Our call, start Ferguson (51%), was right.

Waller 55% 45% Ferguson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
TE Panthers TE #25 Start

Darren Waller

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (PPR) 6.0
Status Active
TE Cowboys TE #27

Jake Ferguson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 5.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Waller: 7.2 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 50% of snaps, 2.3 touches, TB allows the 8th most to TEs.
  • Ferguson: 5.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 23rd most to TEs.
Waller Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs TB 12.0 – 1
Wk 6 @ PHI 0.0 46% –
Wk 4 vs DET 6.6 53% 3
Wk 3 @ CLE 10.1 51% 5
Ferguson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 3.3 54% 2
Wk 5 vs TB 4.9 83% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 4.1 71% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 9.3 69% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Waller Ferguson
Median PPR pts 6.0 5.1
Rec 2.5 2.8
Rec Yds 30.2 22.3
Rec TD 0.3 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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