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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit
Start Darren Waller or Jake Ferguson?
The verdict
Start Darren Waller
Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Ferguson.
Waller already played: 11.5 Half PPR pts (projected 4.5).
Week 6: Ferguson outscored Waller 2.3 to 0.0. Our call, start Waller (50%), was wrong.
Waller 56% 44% Ferguson
Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?
Median (Half PPR) 4.5
Status Active
Median (Half PPR) 3.6
Status Active
Last 4 games
Recent form
- Waller: 6.1 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 2.3 touches, TB allows the 8th most to TEs.
- Ferguson: 4.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 69% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PHI allows the 22nd most to TEs.
| Waller | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | vs TB | 11.5 | 45% | 1 |
| Wk 6 | @ PHI | 0.0 | 46% | – |
| Wk 4 | vs DET | 5.1 | 53% | 3 |
| Wk 3 | @ CLE | 7.6 | 51% | 5 |
| Ferguson | Opp | Pts | Snaps | Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | @ GB | 2.3 | 54% | 2 |
| Wk 5 | vs TB | 3.4 | 83% | 3 |
| Wk 4 | @ HOU | 2.6 | 71% | 3 |
| Wk 3 | vs BAL | 7.8 | 69% | 3 |
Week 7
Projected stat lines
| Stat | Waller | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Median Half PPR pts | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Rec | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Rec Yds | 30.2 | 22.3 |
| Rec TD | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Floor, ceiling, boom & bust