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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Josh Downs?

Close call

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 3.8 PPR pts (projected 7.9).

Week 6: Pierce outscored Downs 15.0 to 8.7. Our call, start Downs (61%), was wrong.

Pierce 53% 47% Downs

Share of simulations in which each player scores more PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Pierce has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Eagles RB #27 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (PPR) 7.5
Status Active
WR Colts WR #38

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (PPR) 7.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 9.1 PPR pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 10th most to RBs.
  • Downs: 6.2 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 15.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 3.2 77% 13
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 3.8 – 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 8.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 7.7 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.6 77% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Downs
Median PPR pts 7.5 7.9
Rush Yds 37.0 0.8
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.4 4.4
Rec Yds 8.6 43.6
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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