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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Dameon Pierce or Josh Downs?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 63% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 1.8 Standard pts (projected 4.0).

Week 6: Pierce outscored Downs 11.0 to 4.7. Our call, start Downs (53%), was wrong.

Pierce 63% 37% Downs

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Eagles RB #26 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 5.8
Status Active
WR Colts WR #41

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 4.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Pierce: 6.1 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
  • Downs: 3.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 11.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 1.2 77% 13
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 1.8 – 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 4.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 4.7 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 1.6 77% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Pierce Downs
Median Standard pts 5.8 4.0
Rush Yds 37.0 0.8
Rush TD 0.3 0.0
Rec 1.4 4.4
Rec Yds 8.6 43.6
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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