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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Josh Downs or Makai Lemon?

Close call

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 1.8 Standard pts (projected 4.0).

Week 6: Downs outscored Lemon 4.7 to 1.9. Our call, start Downs (68%), was right.

Downs 49% 51% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Colts WR #41

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 4.0
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #40 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.2
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Downs: 3.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 2.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 4th most to WRs.
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 1.8 – 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 4.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 4.7 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 1.6 77% 3
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 1.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 4.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 2.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 2.9 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Downs Lemon
Median Standard pts 4.0 4.2
Rec 4.4 5.0
Rec Yds 43.6 42.1
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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