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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Josh Downs or Ryan Flournoy?

Close call

Start Ryan Flournoy

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 1.8 Standard pts (projected 4.0).

Week 6: Flournoy outscored Downs 10.0 to 4.7. Our call, start Downs (56%), was wrong.

Downs 46% 54% Flournoy

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Flournoy has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Colts WR #41

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 4.0
Status Active
WR Cowboys WR #38 Start

Ryan Flournoy

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Downs: 3.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
  • Flournoy: 6.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 74% of snaps, 4.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 1.8 – 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 4.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 4.7 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 1.6 77% 3
Flournoy Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.0 87% 7
Wk 5 vs TB 9.0 68% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 3.7 74% 4
Wk 3 vs BAL 2.2 66% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Downs Flournoy
Median Standard pts 4.0 4.3
Rec 4.4 3.6
Rec Yds 43.6 40.4
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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