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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Josh Downs or Makai Lemon?

Close call

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 3.8 DraftKings pts (projected 8.0).

Week 6: Downs outscored Lemon 8.7 to 4.9. Our call, start Downs (68%), was right.

Downs 46% 54% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Lemon has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Colts WR #38

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (DraftKings) 8.0
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #31 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 9.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Downs: 6.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 6.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 8th most to WRs.
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 3.8 – 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 8.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 7.7 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 4.6 77% 3
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 4.9 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 9.3 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 5.7 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 5.9 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Downs Lemon
Median DraftKings pts 8.0 9.3
Rec 4.4 5.0
Rec Yds 43.6 42.1
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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