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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Josh Downs or Makai Lemon?

Close call

Start Makai Lemon

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Downs.

Downs already played: 2.8 Half PPR pts (projected 5.9).

Week 6: Downs outscored Lemon 6.7 to 3.4. Our call, start Downs (68%), was right.

Downs 47% 53% Lemon

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Lemon has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Colts WR #40

Josh Downs

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Half PPR) 5.9
Status Active
WR Eagles WR #34 Start

Makai Lemon

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 6.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Downs: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 83% of snaps, 3.3 touches, MIN allows the 29th most to WRs.
  • Lemon: 4.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 77% of snaps, 3.5 touches, DAL allows the 6th most to WRs.
Downs Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ MIN 2.8 – 2
Wk 6 vs TEN 6.7 86% 5
Wk 5 @ PIT 6.2 85% 3
Wk 4 @ WAS 3.1 77% 3
Lemon Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 3.4 81% 3
Wk 5 @ JAX 6.8 81% 5
Wk 4 vs LAR 4.2 74% 3
Wk 3 @ CHI 4.4 70% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Downs Lemon
Median Half PPR pts 5.9 6.8
Rec 4.4 5.0
Rec Yds 43.6 42.1
Rec TD 0.2 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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