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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start David Montgomery or Puka Nacua?

The verdict

Start Puka Nacua

Wins 74% of simulated matchups against Montgomery.

Montgomery's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Nacua already played: 17.8 Half PPR pts (projected 0.0).

Montgomery 26% 74% Nacua

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Texans RB #96

David Montgomery

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 0.0
Status Out Groin Official designation · Fri · <1% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 12m ago
WR Rams WR #136 Start

Puka Nacua

@ Las Vegas Raiders · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Half PPR) 0.0
Status Q Calf Official designation · Fri · 40% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 12m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Montgomery: 3.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 46% of snaps, 9.0 touches, NYG allows the 19th most to RBs.
  • Nacua: 20.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 88% of snaps, 11.3 touches, LV allows the 13th most to WRs.
Montgomery Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 5 @ TEN 1.1 14% 5
Wk 4 vs DAL 4.3 56% 10
Wk 3 @ IND 5.8 63% 13
Wk 2 vs CIN 3.4 52% 8
Nacua Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ LV 17.8 85% 10
Wk 6 vs ARI 11.0 90% 6
Wk 5 vs BUF 29.2 85% 19
Wk 4 @ PHI 23.2 90% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Montgomery Nacua
Median Half PPR pts 0.0 0.0
Rush Yds 0.0 2.3
Rush TD 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.0 4.0
Rec Yds 0.0 54.6
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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