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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start David Montgomery or Puka Nacua?

The verdict

Start Puka Nacua

Wins 73% of simulated matchups against Montgomery.

Montgomery's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Nacua already played: 13.8 Standard pts (projected 0.0).

Montgomery 27% 73% Nacua

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

RB Texans RB #96

David Montgomery

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Out Groin Official designation · Fri · <1% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 10m ago
WR Rams WR #135 Start

Puka Nacua

@ Las Vegas Raiders · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Q Calf Official designation · Fri · 40% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 10m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Montgomery: 3.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 46% of snaps, 9.0 touches, NYG allows the 16th most to RBs.
  • Nacua: 15.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 88% of snaps, 11.3 touches, LV allows the 10th most to WRs.
Montgomery Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 5 @ TEN 1.1 14% 5
Wk 4 vs DAL 4.3 56% 10
Wk 3 @ IND 4.8 63% 13
Wk 2 vs CIN 2.4 52% 8
Nacua Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ LV 13.8 – 10
Wk 6 vs ARI 8.0 90% 6
Wk 5 vs BUF 20.7 85% 19
Wk 4 @ PHI 18.7 90% 10

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Montgomery Nacua
Median Standard pts 0.0 0.0
Rush Yds 0.0 2.3
Rush TD 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.0 4.0
Rec Yds 0.0 54.6
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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