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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Deshaun Watson or Geno Smith?

Final · Week 7

Smith outscored Watson

Our call was start Watson (55%): wrong by 5.3 Half PPR pts.

Watson 18.2 Projected 15.5
Smith 23.5 Projected 13.9

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Browns QB #15 Start

Deshaun Watson

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Half PPR) 15.5
Status Active
QB Jets QB #20

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 13.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 13.2 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, TEN allows the 21st most to QBs.
  • Smith: 13.5 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 7th most to QBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ TEN 18.2 100% 36
Wk 6 vs BAL 9.5 100% 26
Wk 5 @ NYJ 12.2 100% 33
Wk 4 vs PIT 12.9 100% 33
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 23.5 100% 30
Wk 6 @ NE 12.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 10.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Smith
Median Half PPR pts 15.5 13.9
Pass Yds 153.5 185.8
Pass TD 1.0 1.3
INT 0.4 0.6
Rush Yds 47.0 10.6
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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