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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Deshaun Watson or Geno Smith?

Final · Week 7

Smith outscored Watson

Our call was start Watson (54%): wrong by 2.3 DraftKings pts.

Watson 22.2 Projected 16.4
Smith 24.5 Projected 15.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Browns QB #16 Start

Deshaun Watson

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (DraftKings) 16.4
Status Active
QB Jets QB #21

Geno Smith

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 15.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 14.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, TEN allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Smith: 14.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, MIA allows the 10th most to QBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ TEN 22.2 – 36
Wk 6 vs BAL 9.5 100% 26
Wk 5 @ NYJ 13.2 100% 33
Wk 4 vs PIT 14.9 100% 33
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs MIA 24.5 – 30
Wk 6 @ NE 13.0 100% 30
Wk 5 vs CLE 11.0 100% 30
Wk 4 @ CHI 8.8 100% 15

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Smith
Median DraftKings pts 16.4 15.0
Pass Yds 153.5 185.8
Pass TD 1.0 1.3
INT 0.4 0.6
Rush Yds 47.0 10.6
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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